Bitcoin's Post-Election Rally Evaporates as ETF Flows Reverse, Gemini Retreats

Breaking: Industry insiders report that a confluence of institutional selling and renewed regulatory anxiety has triggered a sharp reversal in crypto markets, wiping out the entire post-U.S. election rally in a matter of days.
Bitcoin Plunges Below $70,000 in Broad Crypto Sell-Off
The digital asset rally that followed the U.S. presidential election has officially unraveled. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, tumbled below the psychologically significant $70,000 level early Thursday, erasing all gains made since November 5th. At its session low, it touched $68,950, a drop of more than 8% from its post-election peak near $75,000. The sell-off wasn't isolated; Ethereum, Solana, and other major altcoins followed suit, with the broad-based CoinDesk 20 Index shedding over 7%.
This sharp downturn marks a stark reversal from the optimism that swept through markets just last week. Traders had initially cheered the election outcome, betting that a potential shift in regulatory posture could be more favorable. That narrative has now been completely overshadowed by two immediate, tangible pressures: a sudden reversal in flows for the spot Bitcoin ETFs and a strategic retreat by a major industry player.
Market Impact Analysis
The market's reaction has been swift and punishing. Beyond the headline price drop, derivatives markets are flashing warning signs. Open interest in Bitcoin futures has declined by roughly $2 billion since Monday, according to data from Coinglass, indicating traders are rapidly closing leveraged positions. More tellingly, the funding rate for perpetual swaps—which reflects the cost to hold leveraged long positions—has turned negative on several major exchanges. That's a classic sign of long liquidation and a shift in sentiment from greed to fear.
It's not just crypto-native markets feeling the heat. Publicly traded crypto equities like Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) are under significant pressure in pre-market trading, down 5% and 8% respectively. The ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), which tracks futures, is also poised for a steep open. This correlation shows how deeply intertwined traditional finance and crypto have become through these new investment vehicles.
Key Factors at Play
- Spot ETF Flow Reversal: After 19 consecutive days of net inflows totaling nearly $4.5 billion, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net outflows on Tuesday and Wednesday. Preliminary data suggests outflows could exceed $500 million over the two-day period, with Grayscale's GBTC seeing the heaviest redemptions. This is the first sustained outflow since late October and signals that some institutional investors are taking profits or reducing exposure.
- Gemini's Strategic Pullback: The crypto exchange Gemini, founded by the Winklevoss twins, announced plans to wind down operations in several unspecified regions and cut an undisclosed number of staff. While the company framed it as a "strategic optimization," market participants read it as a response to persistent regulatory hurdles and cost pressures. It's a reminder that the operational landscape for crypto firms remains challenging, even with a potential political shift on the horizon.
- Technical Breakdown & Leverage Unwind: Bitcoin failed to hold above its previous all-time high resistance around $73,800, creating a classic "bull trap." This technical failure triggered automated selling and forced the unwind of an estimated $300 million in leveraged long positions across exchanges in the past 24 hours alone. When momentum breaks in a market this leveraged, the moves can be exacerbated.
What This Means for Investors
From an investment standpoint, this pullback serves as a brutal reminder of crypto's inherent volatility. The "sell the news" dynamic after a major event is a well-worn pattern in traditional markets, and it appears to be playing out with precision here. The key question for investors now is whether this is a healthy correction within a longer-term bull trend or the start of a deeper downturn.
Short-Term Considerations
In the immediate term, traders should watch the $68,000 level closely. That area represented strong support in late October and a break below it could open the door to a test of $65,000. The behavior of the spot ETFs over the next three trading days will be critical. If outflows continue or accelerate, it could suggest the institutional "bid" that propelled the market higher is weakening temporarily. Conversely, a quick return to inflows would indicate this was a brief profit-taking episode. Retail investors should be wary of trying to "catch the falling knife" and consider that volatility is likely to remain elevated.
Long-Term Outlook
Zooming out, the long-term thesis for Bitcoin hasn't necessarily changed. The macro backdrop of expansive fiscal policy, potential interest rate cuts in 2025, and its maturation as a institutional asset class remain intact. However, this episode underscores that the path will be non-linear. For long-term holders, periods of severe drawdowns are par for the course. The more consequential development to monitor is whether the regulatory clarity the market craves actually materializes in the coming months, or if political gridlock delays meaningful legislation.
Expert Perspectives
Market analysts are parsing the data for clues. "The ETF flow reversal is the most significant datapoint," noted one senior trader at a digital asset fund who requested anonymity. "It tells us that the easy, one-way inflow trade is over. We're now in a phase where price will dictate flows as much as flows dictate price." Another industry source pointed to Gemini's move as part of a broader consolidation. "The post-FTX era is about sustainable business models. You're seeing firms retrench from marginal markets to focus on core profitability. It's painful short-term but likely healthy for the ecosystem's durability."
Bottom Line
The crypto market's attempt to price in a new political reality has hit a major speed bump. The combination of institutional profit-taking via ETFs and operational headwinds for key industry players has proven to be a powerful counter-force to the election optimism. While the long-term digital asset narrative remains, this sell-off is a stark lesson in market psychology. It demonstrates that in crypto, structural trends can be overwhelmed by technical flows and sentiment shifts in the blink of an eye. The next major support level for Bitcoin now becomes the next major battleground.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.